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Mahomes, Purdy, Prescott: Who are the best QBs of the season? Ranking the top 10 before Week 17

​​​​​​​View Date:2024-12-23 15:04:59

The state of NFL quarterbacking during the 2023 season has been inconsistent at best and – to use Tom Brady's word – mediocre at worst.

However, some quarterbacks truly have been better than others this season, and several of those guys have a real case to make to win this year's NFL MVP Award.

It can help to have a stellar quarterback with so much on the line at this part of the year.

Despite the late stage in the season, there is still a lot to play for as the penultimate week approaches. Only two teams have clinched a playoff berth in the AFC – the Baltimore Ravens and Miami Dolphins – and neither of them have clinched their division title. In the NFC, there are still two divisional races that could go down to the wire and three playoff spots still up for grabs.

Here are the top 10 quarterbacks ranked by expected points added per play (EPA/play) and success rate (percentage of plays with EPA over zero) going into Week 17.

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Top 10 Quarterbacks by EPA/play after Week 16

EPA/play is a measure of how many points a player added to his team's expected team total.

These "expected points added" take into account many things, such as where a drive began, the down and distance of a play and the significance of turnovers.

PositionQuarterback (TEAM)EPA/play (through Week 16)
1Brock Purdy (SF)0.33
2Dak Prescott (DAL)0.222
3Josh Allen (BUF)0.209
4Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)0.184
5Jalen Hurts (PHI)0.146
6Baker Mayfield (TB)0.141
7Patrick Mahomes (KC)0.139
8Jordan Love (GB)0.133
9Matt Stafford (LAR)0.129
10Jared Goff (DET)0.122
Courtesy of rbsdm.com/stats

Top 10 Quarterbacks by success rate after Week 16

Success rate measures how often a quarterback makes a play that generates positive EPA. A big completion for a first down or a successful scramble to set up a shorter third down scenario are positive EPA plays. Turnovers, sacks and incomplete passes are negative EPA plays.

PositionQuarterback (TEAM)Success rate (through Week 16)
1Brock Purdy (SF)55.4%
2Josh Allen (BUF)51.9%
3Dak Prescott (DAL)51.2%
4Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)51.0%
5Lamar Jackson (BAL)50.2%
6Jared Goff (DET)49.7%
7Patrick Mahomes (KC)49.4%
8Jalen Hurts (PHI)49.0%
9Trevor Lawrence (JAX)48.8%
10Geno Smith (SEA)48.8%
Courtesy of rbsdm.com/stats

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